Saturday, December 17, 2011

President Manuel Roxas and the Real Owner of 7,169 Philippine Islands: The Untold History


This is the untold history of the newly created Republic of the Philippines under President Manuel Roxas and the real owners of the Philippines islands  - the Tallano family.


Here are some of my recent findings, not as a professional historian, but as a curious individual.

These findings are based on commercial and legal documents whose original purposes were for documentation as required by law and contracts.

Yet, such documents are a very important source of history.

After all, history is sourced from documents, not the other way around.

Now, let us proceed to the untold history of President Manuel Roxas and the real title of the real owners of the islands of the Philippines.
What is the Philippines' untold origin?

Here is what history books do not tell us. This origin is taken from a document. Remember, documents were not written for history. There were encoded and entered as transactions in the ordinary course of business on a day to day basis. Unlike history, documents do not make up angles or perspectives or interpretations.

One document, a certificate of land title, numbered OCT-01-4 which was created formally in 1764 (yes, it's that old), was preserved, and re-constituted, and re-created and re-registered whenever the land registration changed over the years, contains certain annotations at the back.

One such annotation is relevant to:

The new Republic of the Philippines and the Tallano clan.

This annotation was dated July 5, 1946 (one day after the creation of the Republic of the Philippines!!!) and numbered GLRO-079 S-4-7-1946

GLRO-079
S-4-7-1946
Letter of Declaration respecting Private Rights of Don Esteban Benitez Tallano, heir of late Prince Julian Macleod Tallano over the 7,169 Islands of the archipelago including the Freedom Islands, Turtle Islands and the Sabah Islands evidenced by OCT No. T-01-4 in consonance with the declaration of U.S. President Harry S. Truman with U.S. Congress Joint Resolution No. 93 of June 29, 1946 and the December 10, 1898 Treaty of Paris, that United States withdraws and surrenders all rights of possession including lands and supervision, jurisdiction, control of sovereignty and recognized the independence of the Philippines.
Date of the Document:  June 7, 1946
(Sgd)  MANUEL A. ROXAS
Philippine President
July 5, 1946




What does the above transactional annotation document in the land title OCT-01-4 tell us?

It tells us what history books have failed to capture.

1. The Republic of the Philippines was just created (July 4, 1946 is the independence date from the Americans)

2. One day after the creation of the Republic of the Philippines (i.e. July 5, 1946), no less than the highest officer of the new Republic, President Manuel Acuna Roxas signed an annotation at the back of the title OCT-01-4.

3. The annotation is a Letter of Declaration by no less than the President of the Republic of the Philippines Manuel Acuna Roxas.

4. According to Pres. Manuel Roxas, such Letter of Declaration was in consonance with 
- Declaration of US Congress Resolution No. 93 of June 29, 1946 and the
- Treaty of Paris on December 10, 1898

5. That the Letter of Declaration respects:
- The private rights of Don Esteban Benitez Tallano (heir of Prince Julian MacCleod Tallano)
- Such private rights are evidenced by OCT 01-4.
- OCT 01-4 covers ownership over the 7,169 islands of the archipelago including
                    - Freedom Islands
                    - Turtle Islands
                    - Sabah Islands

6. The date of such Letter of Declaration was June 7, 1946


As you have noticed, the annotations and the history accounts dovetail in agreement.

This is what the history books failed to capture, but in reality was documented not by a historian, but by an officer who was doing his work in the ordinary course of business on day to day basis.


And this is a validation, once again, of the existence and the authenticity of Torrens Title OCT-01-4 issued in favor of


"Prince Lacan Acuña Tallano Tagean (formerly Tagean Clan), married with
Princess Rowena Ma. Elizabeth Overbeck Macleod of Austria,
the owner in Fee simple of certain lands, known as HACIENDA FILIPINA"

(email me to get a scanned copy of the title issued by the register of deeds)

History from original source documents! What a refreshing perspective.

P.S. Can you imagine that? No less than President Manuel Acuna Roxas, President of the newly created Republic of the Philippines, in a very public Letter of Declaration dated June 7, 1946, and annotated on title OCT 01-4 public recognizes the ownership of the Tallano clan over the entire 7,169 Philippines islands and other islands including Sabah!!!!

What else do you need as legal proof?


































University of the Philippines Diliman Campus: The Untold Origin


This is the untold origin of the University of the Philippines.

Here are some of my recent findings, not as a professional historian, but as a curious individual.

These findings are based on commercial and legal documents whose original purposes were for documentation as required by law and contracts.

Yet, such documents are a very important source of history.

After all, history is sourced from documents, not the other way around.

Now, let us proceed to the untold origin of the University of the Philippines.

Have you read the news lately about the land titling issues around the UP Diliman Campus?

Here are clippings:

39-year-old Technohub land dispute continues
(This report was first published in print in issue 20 of the Philippine Collegian on 12 December 2011.)
by Isabella Patricia Borlaza
A 39-year old land dispute involving a private individual’s claim of a part of UP Diliman property is set to be reviewed once again, after the Office of the Solicitor General (OSG) submitted a second motion for referral to the Supreme Court (SC) on November 24.
And also this case:
This treats of the Report submitted to this Court by the Former Special Fourth Division of the Court of Appeals, dated July 30, 2003, pursuant to our Resolution, dated December 7, 2001, directing said court to receive evidence on the conflicting claims over the subject properties covered by TCT Nos. 52928 and 52929 between private respondents Jorge H. Chin and Renato B. Mallari, on the one hand, and intervenor University of the Philippines (UP), on the other.
The case at bar is another crass attempt to grab part of the Diliman Campus of the University of the Philippines. Over and over again, this Court has ruled that the title of UP over its Diliman Campus is indefeasible and beyond dispute. We cannot deviate from this ruling.

You can google for more UP land grabbing, land scamming cases.

What is the University of the Philippines' untold origin?

Here is what history books do not tell us. This origin is taken from a document. Remember, documents were not written for history. There were encoded and entered as transactions in the ordinary course of business on a day to day basis. Unlike history, documents do not make up angles or perspectives or interpretations.

One document, a certificate of land title, numbered OCT-01-4 which was created formally in 1764 (yes, it's that old), was preserved, and re-constituted, and re-created and re-registered whenever the land registration changed over the years, contains certain annotations at the back.

One such annotation is relevant to:

University of the Philippines Diliman Campus

This annotation was dated May 5, 1939 and numbered CLRO 0101 S-5-5-39


GLRO 0101
S-5-5-39
In conjunction with the establishment of University of the Philippines and the place thereof from Manila to Diliman embodied under Act No. 1870, and in honor of his cousin: Conrado Benitez, and a tribute to his second cousin, late Ignacio Villamor, its first President, Don Esteban Benitez Tallano extended a Deed of Donation of around seventy five (75) hectares of land in Diliman District for the permanent location of University of the Philippines.
(Sgd)  TEODORO GONZALES
Register of Deeds
May 5, 1939

What does the above transactional annotation document in the land title OCT-01-4 tell us?

It tell us what history books have failed to capture.

1. Don Esteban Benitez Tallano donated 75 hectares in Diliman, to the University of the Philippines.
2. The purpose was the establishment of UP Diliman as an extension campus of UP Manila under Act. 1870.
3. He donated it in honor of his cousin, Conrado Benitez.
4. And as a tribute to his second cousin, who had died, Ignacio Villamor, the first President of UP.
5. The donation was annotated by the Teodoro Gonzales, Register of Deeds in 1939.
6. Yes, as recently as 1939, the OCT 01-4 has been recognized as authentic and existing title.

As you have noticed, the annotations and the history accounts dovetail in agreement.

This is what the history books failed to capture, but in reality was documented not by a historian, but by an officer who was doing his work in the ordinary course of business on day to day basis.

And this is a validation, once again, of the existence and the authenticity of Torrens Title OCT-01-4 issued to the name of

"Prince Lacan Acuña Tallano Tagean (formerly Tagean Clan), married with
Princess Rowena Ma. Elizabeth Overbeck Macleod of Austria,
the owner in Fee simple of certain lands, known as HACIENDA FILIPINA"

History from original source documents! What a refreshing perspective.


Centro Escolar University: The Untold Origin

This is the untold origin of Centro Escolar University.

Here are some of my recent findings, not as a professional historian, but as a curious individual.

These findings are based on commercial and legal documents whose original purposes were for documentation as required by law and contracts.

Yet, such documents are a very important source of history.

After all, history is sourced from documents, not the other way around.

Now, let us proceed to the untold origin of Centro Escolar University.

From CEU's website you can find this entry:

"A Brief History

Centro Escolar University was established on June 3, 1907 by Doña Librada Avelino and Doña Carmen de Luna for the instruction and training of the youth in all branches of the arts and sciences. With some benches, a single blackboard and a few books, the two educators steadfastly nurtured a dream of establishing a nationalistic center of learning for Filipino women. The first college, that of Pharmacy, opened in 1921. The College of Liberal Arts, Education and Dentistry followed one after the other. Three years later, the College of Optometry was established."

What is Centro Escolar University's untold origin?

Here is what history books do not tell us. This origin is taken from a document. Remember, documents were not written for history. There were encoded and entered as transactions in the ordinary course of business on a day to day basis. Unlike history, documents do not make up angles or perspectives or interpretations.

One document, a certificate of land title, numbered OCT-01-4 which was created formally in 1764 (yes, it's that old), was preserved, and re-constituted, and re-created and re-registered whenever the land registration changed over the years, contains certain annotations at the back.

One such annotation is relevant to:

Centro Escolar University.

This annotation was dated January 20, 1904 and numbered CLRO 01122 S-1904

CLRO
01122
S-1904
A Deed of Donation of 1 hectare lot in San Miguel, Manila has been executed by Don Esteban Benitez Tallano in favor of Doña Librada Avelino to locate finally the school, Centro Escolar de Senoritas (now Centro Escolar University), as a birthday gift to the lady that become his girlfriend for years.
Date of the Document:  January 18, 1904
(Sgd)  H. K. SLEEPER
Land Registration Officer
January 20, 1904

What does the above transactional annotation document in the land title OCT-01-4 tell us?

It tell us what history books have failed to capture.

1. Don Esteban Benitez Tallano considered Dona Librada Avelino as a long time girl friend.
2. He donated 1 hectare of land to her.
3. The donated land was located in San Miguel Manila.
4. The purpose was for the final location of a school named Centro Escolar de Senoritas
5. The school has been renamed Centro Escolar University later
6. The annotation was signed by H.K. Sleeper, the Land Registration Officer at the time (American occupation)
7. Three years after the donation, the construction of the school was finished and it opened on June 3, 1907.

As you have noticed, the annotations and the history accounts dovetail in agreement.

This is what the history books failed to capture, but in reality was documented not by a historian, but by an officer who was doing his work in the ordinary course of business on day to day basis.


And this is a validation, once again, of the existence and the authenticity of Torrens Title OCT-01-4 issued to the name of

"Prince Lacan Acuña Tallano Tagean (formerly Tagean Clan), married with
Princess Rowena Ma. Elizabeth Overbeck Macleod of Austria,
the owner in Fee simple of certain lands, known as HACIENDA FILIPINA"


History from original source documents! What a refreshing perspective.



Friday, November 18, 2011

Jurisdiction of the Sandiganbayan


Excerpts from the book "Certiorari Conundrum" by Thads Bentulan


Jurisdiction of the Sandiganbayan
The Sandiganbayan is a special court. It has both original and appellate jurisdiction. The Sandiganbayan and the Court of Tax Appeals (CTA) are now of the same level as the Court of Appeals (CA). It decides cases in divisions similar to the Court of Appeals. Similar to the Court of Appeals, the Sandiganbayan en banc cannot decide cases unlike the Court of Tax Appeals (CTA).

Sandiganbayan: Original exclusive jurisdiction
The Sandiganbayan has exclusive original jurisdiction over the following cases:
1.              Violation of RA 3019 (Anti-Graft and Corrupt Practices), RA 1379 (unlawfully acquired property), and the Revised Penal Code (Book II, Title VII, Chapter II, Section 2), and,
2.              Other offenses  committed by public employees (and government-owned or controlled corporations) in relation to their office and private individuals charged with them, where one of the accused is an official occupying the following positions (permanent or interim) at the time of the commission of the offense:
2a.            Officials of the executive branch classified as Grade 27 or higher;
2b.            Members of the Judiciary
2c.            Members of the Constitutional Commissions
2d.            Members of Congress
2e.            All other national and local officials classified as Grade 27 or higher.
3.              Civil and criminal cases filed under EO 1,2,14, and 14-A (RA 7975 Sec. 2, RA 8249)

Sandiganbayan: Concurrent original jurisdiction with the SC
Under EO 1,2,14, and 14-A (RA 7975 Sec. 2, RA 8249), the Marcos ill-gotten wealth cases, the Sandiganbayan has concurrent original jurisdiction with the Supreme Court in the
1.      special civil actions of certiorari, prohibition, mandamus, and quo warranto,
2.      the special proceeding of habeas corpus, and
3.      provisional remedies of injunction and ancillary writs in aid of its appellate jurisdiction.

Sandiganbayan: Appellate jurisdiction
1.                 The Sandiganbayan has appellate jurisdiction over decisions of the RTC in the exercise of the latter’s original or appellate jurisdiction under PD 1606 as amended (RA 8249 Sec. 5). The notice of appeal must be filed with 15 days of the promulgation of judgment. Rule 122 of the Rules of Court provide the manner for this appeal.
2.                 Note: In my opinion, under the doctrine of judicial hierarchy enunciated in both St Martin Funeral Homes vs. NLRC, and People vs. Mateo, whenever the RTC imposes the death penalty, reclusion perpetua, or life imprisonment under BP129 and RA8249 instead of the case being elevated directly to the Supreme Court, by implication of People vs. Mateo, the RTC judgment must be reviewed first by the Sandiganbayan. I will discuss the People vs. Mateo case, decided July 7, 2004, in the next part of this series.

Monday, October 03, 2011

Hyperwage Theory vs. Cause-Oriented Groups

What is the difference between Hyperwage Theory and the wage increase demanded by cause-oriented groups?

I have been asked this many times, and I think it is time to write down this reply for the convenience of those conducting research on Hyperwage Theory.

1. The main difference is in the theory: The theory behind the demand for higher wages by cause-oriented groups is social justice while the theory behind Hyperwage is economic wealth creation.

Social justice is a concept of entitlement. Labor is entitled to a certain portion of profits.
Hyperwage is based on economic principles: Higher wages causes higher demand, then higher sales, then higher production, then higher employment, then even higher purchasing power of the newly employed who purchase more goods.

Hyperwage, therefore, is not based on social justice, but on the concept of demand and supply. Higher purchasing power increases demand which requires more employment, and also more taxes collected by the government.

2. For example, the cause-oriented groups demand an across-the-board P125 daily wage increase in the wages (for both minimum wage earners and non-minimum wage earners).

3. Their demand is not based on economic theory (at least until they began changing their tune when they read Hyperwage Theory in 2002 and 2005). It is based on the concept of social justice: that workers should share in the fruits of business.

4. The amount demanded by cause-oriented groups are targeted at obtaining a living wage.

5. Hyperwage Theory rests on a different foundation: That economic wealth creation for the entire economy is based on one single variable -- the minimum wage.

6. Hyperwage Theory is not anchored in social justice, although, lo and behold, social justice is a necessary results of implementing Hyperwage Theory.

7. The cause-oriented groups recognize that increasing wages threatens the survival of the businesses and for this reason, their demand is only for such an increase to attain a living wage. This is why until now, no cause-orient group has come out in the open to support Hyperwage Theory. They themselves are not convince of hyperwage salaries.

8. On the other hand, Hyperwage Theory starts with including domestic helpers in the coverage of the minimum law. Hyperwage Theory proposes that the higher the wage of the domestic helpers the better for the economy.

9. Why are the cause-oriented groups demanding for a different minimum wage for janitor and a different minimum wage for domestic helpers? It is because the leaders of cause-oriented groups have domestic helpers and that the former do not want to give P20,000 per month to the latter?

10. As you can see, the cause-oriented groups are half-hearted in their demand for wage increases because their advocacy is not anchored on economic principles but on the concept of social justice. Their demand is limited because they are not Hyperwagers at heart.

They have not yet appreciated the idea that Hyperwage Theory automatically includes social justice,  economic wealth creation, and the solution to insurgency, crime rates, mendicancy, inefficiency, brain drain, etc.

11. How does Hyperwage affect the economy beneficically? This is answered in the book. Read it.

12. Hyperwage rests on one economic variable - the minimum wage and the higher it is, the better for the economy.

Saturday, July 02, 2011

The Blessing, the Curse, and the Hope of Democracy

Is knowledge, truth?

Is knowledge, truth?

By Thads Bentulan

The greatest faculties of man that separate him from other animals are the faculties of thought, imagination, and reason.

And from man’s faculties of thought, imagination and reason, arise concepts not enjoyed by other species such as the concepts of equality, freedom, and truth – and then, there is that concept invented by modern society – the concept of profit.

Summum Bonum

And all of these are just means to obtain man’s summum bonum, the highest good.

However, between the spheres of the highest good, on one side, and man’s essence, on the other, is man’s existence.

With man’s existence, the concepts of equality, freedom, and truth occupy greater relative value than the summum bonum. Not because the former are more important than the latter, but simply because equality, freedom, and truth are more temporally current than the summum bonum.

In a way, the concerns of today outweigh the concerns of the future.

Implements

Yet, even given the currency of man’s existence, the concepts of equality, freedom, and truth are situational – that is, their relative value depends on the situation.

Perhaps, there is no debate as to what is meant by equality, freedom, and truth when man’s actions, and his interactions with other men, and with society in general, are questions of life and death. There is no ambiguity, there is no middle ground, there is no spectrum of gray, when life and death are involved.

Torture, murder, and genocide are situationals that require no debate: man’s inhumanity to man ought to be preempted by the implementation of the concepts of equality, freedom, and truth.

In our times, the implementation of equality is democracy. The implementation of freedom is rebellion when oppressed. The implementation of truth is the freedom of the press.

Truth conundrum

And now comes, the Truth Conundrum – the relevant truth versus the irrelevant truth.

When the truth does not directly impact a particular man’s life: Does that particular man deserve the irrelevant truth?

Specifically, in no other era in the history of man has there been a wholesale leakage of the truth and lies maintained by enterprises and governments than that one offered by Julian Assange and Wikileaks.

Some of these truths and lies are irrelevant to others. Do they deserve this wholesale truth?

Lie Conundrum

After the truth conundrum, comes the lie conundrum.

The Lie Conundrum: To preempt man’s inhumanity to man, does society need to rely on deliberate lies as part of its survival strategy?

The social contract requires individuals to surrender certain rights and freedoms to enable the state to sustain society’s survival. Does this include deliberate lies as part of the disinformation strategy? Does this include the withholding of truth? The absence of truth is but another form of a deliberate lie.

Man’s inhumanity to man

The common thought used in the justification of the lie conundrum as part of the survival strategy of the state is the reality of the evil human mind.

It is man’s capability and intention to inflict inhumanity to other men that requires the existence of a system of confidential flow of facts, information, and most of all opinion.

State defense and secrets rely heavily on candid and frank formation of opinions about other states, persons, event, or ideas. And indeed, a case can be made for such opinions to be confidential in nature.

Shades of gray

The truth has its own spectrum; the lie has its own spectrum.

Does man’s survival depend on his ability to manage the shades of gray?

The reality of human interaction is that, on a day to day basis, it is extremely difficult, even for a reasonable man, to judge in which part of the gray spectrum he is currently in.

At what point of the spectrum does he realize he has switched to the side of evil in the fight between good and evil?

At what point of the spectrum does the state realize it has switched to the side of evil in the battle between democracy and terrorism?

At what point of the spectrum does the fourth estate realize it has unnecessarily exposed the security of the state in revealing the wholesale truth?

Wholesale truth

Never in the history of human civilization has there been a technology that enabled a single person to distribute information directly – yes, directly - to every other person in the world in a matter of seconds far more efficiently than the internet.

The World Wide Web, like any new technology, is a double-edged sword. It could be equally used for good and evil. What if the wholesale truth is available to the terrorists?

Security and leakages during the Cold War are nothing compared to the potential information leaks of today. There were a few dozen spies who came in from the cold but the information and disinformation they brought in were sealed among a few in the intelligence community.

The secret of the atomic bomb was revealed by a spy deep within the Manhattan project but such leakage was limited to a few persons.

But the frightening speed and dispersion of the web mixed with the never ending debate on individual liberties and his social contract with the state is a thermonuclear combination of damaging consequences.

Information voyeurism

Technology-enabled wholesale truths and lies are now available even to persons would find this information irrelevant.

Thus, the mere thought of having access to such wholesale truths and lies have created a new addiction: information voyeurism.

Does the citizen deserve to know how an ambassador thinks of the credit card transactions of another diplomat? Of course, when it is information about genocide, the resolution of the debate is simple. How about cover-ups of military misjudgments? How about government Big Brother espionage of your neighbor’s trash?

Julian Assange and Wikileaks

Given man’s faculties of thought, imagination, and reason, it would not be illogical to contemplate on the ramifications of the web technology and the concepts of equality, freedom, and truth.

Thus, the emergence of Julian Assange and Wikileaks is a logical, rational, and natural consequence of the new technology and man’s faculty of reason. Have you noticed, this is exactly the process of thought and reasoning we followed in this discourse, leading to the possibility of wholesale leakages?

It is just coincidental that it had to be Julian Assange and Wikileaks. Were Assange unable to initiate Wikileaks, then in a mere matter of months, somebody else would have initiated it.

Empire

The reaction of the empires and states to Julian Assange and Wikileaks would go down in modern history as one of their greatest monumental strategic failures. It is a great loss of opportunity. It is history repeating itself.

Instead of cooperating with Julian Assange and Wikileaks, the states have chosen to wage war with him. History is replete with histories of empires and states that have been destroyed and created on the basis of equality, freedom, and truth. And the statistics and history have favored those who fought for these concepts.

After all, in the long run, how could not man’s essence of thought, imagination, and reason not side with concepts of equality, freedom, and truth?

Freedom and responsibility

Just because you have the freedom to act does not always mean that acting on it is the best course of action. Freedom comes with responsibility. The freedom to act, comes with the responsibility for the consequences.

It is probably the reason why, that with the invention of truth, comes the invention of lying.

Human relations is not all about the truth. Human relations is a main course of truth, with the occasional dessert of the lie. That is not the ideal situation, but then humans live in the stark realities of life, not in the concept of the ideal.

The states could have interacted with Julian Assange and Wikileaks on the basis of cooperation founded on freedom and responsibility, instead of choosing to wage war with a person standing on the pedestal of truth.

Profit

Profit as a legitimate, openly-discussed , socially-accepted goal, is a modern invention. How should freedom of the press handle the needs of the enterprises for confidentiality, which in turn is a basis for profit? For instance, a Wikileak exposé from government missive could mention about a corporate secret or strategy.

Quo Vadis?

The current debate on Julian Assange and Wikileaks and the states can be partitioned into these two areas: 1. The reaction of the states against the expose of Assange and Wikileaks and; 2. The thorny and difficult debate on the freedom of the press versus the security of the state.

The reaction of the states against Julian Assange and Wikileaks, although the most current and most heated debate involving the freedom of the press in the world today, is actually the easier one to resolve. This involves basically tactics and strategy.

The second main area of concern is extremely difficult to resolve, and one that involves long term solutions, and with deep ramifications.

This area of concern has been a recurring theme since the beginning of man. The other species do not have this problem because they do not have faculties of thought, imagination, and reason.

Being a recurring theme, these issues have been resolved with tenuous compromises. Our society has come to terms with the truth conundrum, the lie conundrum, the shades of gray, individual liberties and the social contract.

There is no ideal resolution because human relations is a complex web of compromises and consequences.

But the coals of almost forgotten fires have been rekindled into a conflagration of truth debates. This time the debate has enormous consequences.

Is knowledge, truth?

Julian Assange and Wikileaks have provided us with lightning-fast, mass-distributed, yet direct person-to-person information. But is such information, knowledge? And is such knowledge, the truth?

Is such unfiltered massive knowledge, the truth that we seek? Does freedom of the press contemplate knowledge or truth?

The marriage of technology and untruth, especially on issues not immediately identifiable as black or white, is a never ending struggle for the refinement of the tradeoffs between individual liberty and state security, given the extremes of potential exposition of information enabled by the speed and the dispersion of the web.

I do not see a simple resolution but we should not stop seeking for one. After all, we have the weapons and faculties to arrive at one. And don’t forget, the greatest faculties of man that separate him from other animals are the faculties of thought, imagination, and reason.

With these essential human faculties, adjusted for current technologies, we hope to originate a solution relevant for today and in the near future.

Wednesday, May 11, 2011

My Appreciation For Your Theory

Subject: My Appreciation for Your Theory


Hello,
I had another look with your book, Hyperwage. And it was really very
entertaining. I do understand how completely you are endeavored with
the idea. I would also say I am a convert too.

Back in 2008, I took another stand when I was trying to see it on the
other side. I was very much skeptical about your theory.

I think it as a wishful thinking. I was a critique on it.

I posted a lot of opinions against it. I even had a debate with someone in the DYAB thread on it.

And so it happened that I completely ignored it and went into a deep hibernation especially last year.

I was in fact, one of your avid listener and trying to discredit the practicality of your theory.

And fast forward to October 2010, it took me 2 years to give your theory another try. I read your book for the second time around.

IT was then that I found out that I missed a lot.

being a critic at first took me no regret. We need critics in our life to look
at the other side.

The second time I took the book seriously, I find out many of its application
that is so vast that it really makes you worthy to get a Nobel Prize for it.

The idea is so good. I don't know if there are already some people embracing
the idea, but it is universally a very good idea that even seculars and clerics
must embrace it. It is an idea far greater than Marx.

It is the gospel that Christ preached! It is the golden rule!

Let me share my own view of your idea. We need a leverage in our
income in order for us to create another opportunity of doing economic transaction.

With 20% of our income pegged at basic needs, we can contribute the vast 80% of the
remaining income circulated in the economy.

A lot of people did not realize this fact.

Most of them are hired by rich people wanting only to enrich themselves.
It is sad to note that some of our so-called economic experts like _______
did not even consider your idea a far greater one.

Well, it is expected that they would not even consider it.

These guys are just plainly, intellectual prostitutes. They are prostituting their so called expertise to the rich people and yet no matter how experts they are, they have not even given a good theoretical foundation on how our economy must be based on.

I made this email to tell you how I embraced the whole idea so much.

Currently, I am working with the biggest bank in the world which attracts some talents here in Cebu.


And realizing how important it is to leverage our income, I could say, there is no other economist that the world must listen to and that is JT Bents, and there is no other program in radio to listen to and that is your program.

Also, thanks for sharing the Howard Schultz story. I had listened it one time and the whole series of it.

I share your views on democratizing economic ideas as well as democratizing wealth.

Wealth I think is not just a material wealth but knowledge also.

--
Kristian Iroy

Saturday, December 18, 2010

The Bentulan Labor-Minutes: A New Comparison Index

In the book Hyperwage Theory serialized in the Manila newspaper BusinessWorld in 2005, Thads Bentulan, introduced the concept of labor-minutes.

This was in Chapter 8 (titled The Mispricing of Labor) published on June 23 2005.

Here is the definition of the Bentulan Labor-Minutes: The duration of work needed by a minimum wage worker to buy goods and services in his area.

For example, how many minutes of work is needed by a minimum wage worker in New York to buy a kilo of pork in New York?

Note that the reference wage is the minimum wage.

What is the use of the Bentulan Labor-Minutes (BLM)?

The BLM will be a very logical index for comparing the economic wealth of countries.

For instance, one of the most tricky conditions to define is how do you define "middle class" in London vs. Jakarta?

Should it be by dollars? Try to compare them in terms of the BLM. And you can see a better picture of the wealth of the Jakarta society vs. the London society.

A basket of goods and services can be better explained in terms of the Bentulan Labor-Minutes instead of the "constant dollar" consumer price index because the inflation rate and the exchange rates are eliminated from the problem.

We can then compare the wealth of the 1911 minimum wage worker vs. the 2011 minimum wage worker by computing the Bentulan Labor Minutes for a basket of goods and services for 1911 and 2011.

We can now easily compute today's basket in Bangkok vs Vienna.

For more examples and discussions read the book Hyperwage Theory (2005).

Thads Bentulan: President of the Global Filipino Nation?

from Sonny Filipino Feliciano
to Thads Bentulan
date Fri, Oct 29, 2010 at 6:22 AM
subject President of the Global Filipino Nation

Greetings!

I just finished reading your "Hyperwage Theory" treatise a few minutes ago (all 329 pages). I've never spent so much productive time ever with another book before. (Of course, I confess - being an amateur economist - that my understanding/grasp of your material is far from 100%, and will have to re-read your magnificent book several times, before I see the finer points.)

Your work is just too "magnetic","educational" and "thought-provoking" to set it aside even though it's ultra "hot" to handle, but it's also really a waste of time doing other stuff (like going to the bathroom) while trying to absorb your critical and important message targeted mainly for PhD wanna-bes, but a typical reader like yours truly's mind was opened wide anyhow. Although I'm a pretty difficult person to be convinced about theories and practices, in particular and someone else's beliefs, in general, I'm wholeheartedly sold! The past 4 hours, dealing with your literary masterpiece, must have been the most intellectually-draining time I have been challenged in my 55 years of life.

The world's historic existence is truly threatened by the truth that billions of people choose to ignore - intentional strategy of poverty employed/enforced by the powers that be! It's not a secret that the superior races of this universe have controlled the lives of the poorest of the poor so they can continue enjoying whatever automatically reaches their laps of luxury because of their class A economic status, mainly made possible by the masses of toiling laborers every which way one turns.

It's very timely that we crossed paths through your masterpiece. I'm not a real book reader, although reading is my number one hobby. I mainly rely on the internet to quench my thirst for knowledge. I'm pleasantly surprised that all is for naught and I do have a newly-found hope that things will improve in our universe, thanks to your foresight - provided that more followers can open their minds to your valid, albeit out-of-this world, but down-to-earth suggestions.

Although this missive is getting unnecessarily longer, I thought that it would help you understand where I'm coming from. (People say that I'm in an enviable position of being a U.S. pensioner enjoying the fruits of my long and hard labor in a 3rd world setting.) I retired about 2 years ago at age 54 from the United States Postal Service, having lived in Seattle since 1977. I'm in the process of implementing my reverse diaspora plan as we speak. I travelled to China (my wife is a Chinese citizen) and the Philippines from September 12, 2010 to October 11, 2010 and managed to open negotiations about buying my sister's Valenzuela property which paperwork is scheduled to close in December. I was in Metro Manila, Bataan, Isabela, Ilocos Sur and Baguio. (I escaped the wrath of super typhoon "Juan" just in time!) I've spent 5 days in Guangzhou last month - mainly concerning my wife's stuff, but I also had a chance to mingle with potential business partners
there.

I couldn't pinpoint whether you're based in the Philippines or somewhere else. I really wish to connect with you during this, our temporary lifetimes on earth. I'll return to the motherland for good in January 2011. I would be honored and humbled when the right serendipitous time comes that we potentially finally meet!!

Regards and May You Have More Successes To Come!

Filipino "Sonny" Feliciano
410 Broadway Ave. E., Seattle, WA 98102

Wednesday, June 02, 2010

Strategy Myopia

What is the Philippine's San Miguel Corporation doing lately? Are they following a strategic map? Who is their strategist? Exactly, 12 years ago, on June 2, 1998.... while everybody was praising San Miguel as one of the best managed corporations in the country, someone pointed out a different reality: SMC was a continuing failure, and he pointed out the solution - Strategy Myopia.

Of course, this idea was considered crazy a dozen years ago...




The genesis of a stormy idea and the birth of the Street Strategist
Strategy
Myopia

"Strategy is seeing what everybody else has seen and thinking what nobody else has thought.” – Sir Acid

One of the biggest thrills for a young person is meeting famous people.

Unfortunately, my experience of this kind is dismal – I haven’t met any famous people at all.

Oh, maybe jockeying with Richard Gomez for a taxi one late night in Kai Tak airport would count. Maybe handshaking with John Denver in Kowloon after a concert would count. Maybe calling out to Richard Branson to show him the walkway to Prince Charles’ royal yacht Britannia moored in HMS Tamar would count. Maybe getting an autographed poster from Jamie Rivera, because we stayed in the same hotel in Singapore, would count.

Or, maybe hatching out a plan to kiss Tetchie Agbayani in the Calesa Bar, which my friend successfully implemented while I sat wishing I did it myself, would count.

But these were nonsensical encounters. You can say mine is a pathetic case when it comes to meeting famous people.

One exception
There was a minor exception, though, during a student cocktail party. I was so young that I remember on this occasion I tied my hair into a ponytail. The champagne sure was better than the local gin I was used to.

Andres Soriano III was standing alone in a corner. I suppose he was trying in vain to be inconspicuous.

Looking back, it must have been really some important student cocktail party, or really some influential school, for San Miguel Corporation’s CEO to be present. I think Washington SyCip was there too. There were some corporate big shots but in my ignorance, I didn’t recognize a lot of them.

It was something like a “students-meet-corporate-bigshots” cocktails. It was a nice activity; all schools should have one.

Nobody talked to AS3. It was because we all knew it was AS3 and no one dared approach him.

For me, it was a rare moment. At that time, there was only one question burning in my mind. This was the same question that all students present wanted to ask the CEO of the biggest operation in the country.

The question of a hundred years
Anyway, I went over to AS3. We exchanged “hellos” and he was very polite. He can afford to be polite, he didn’t have anything he couldn’t win. I can afford to be intrusive, I didn’t have anything to lose.

Okay, that’s an unfair statement – I just wanted to say something witty. In truth, he really was a nice person and all. He was holding his champagne flute. I don’t recall if he was drinking wine, or water or beer. By this time, other students had milled around us, having seen the pied piper leading the way.

I asked the question of a hundred years: “Mr. Soriano, why is it that after 100 years, all that San Miguel can do is make beer?”

I knew I was speaking for everyone when I popped that question. This question was not an original. It was a common thread of thought among students and instructors who previously spent more than five sessions discussing SMC from its roots 100 years earlier through the Marcos years, to the present.

(By the way, that series should be required reading in all business courses as I know even SMC employees have not read it. It has very interesting behind-the-scenes accounts like when Cojuangco and Gokongwei waged board room battles with the Sorianos.)

Anyway, we never had the chance to ask this question except among ourselves. This was the chance for us to hear it straight from the horse’s mouth.

Incidentally, that year was also SMC’s 100th anniversary.

Holy management ground
He paused before replying. AS3 was now standing on holy management ground, which at that particular minute had the greatest density of the best young management talents per square meter in the entire country.

These were young people who thought they could function as CEOs of SMC, Metrobank, and Petron the next morning without flinching. If an earthquake swallowed that room, you’d think there would have been a management drought for the next five years.

Certainly, there was intelligent life out there but count me out, I was only biding my time, drinking their wine.
“We try to focus on our core competence. We still have room for growth even within our own business sectors. We still have so much to do.” This is not verbatim. I don’t recall if he used the McKinseyish term “core competence” or the phrase “what we do best.” But that was the gist of AS3’s reply.

The crowd grew larger, this time the other big shots and the other students came closer, too.
Jet Magsaysay, editor of World Executive’s Digest, who had been standing there for some time revealed himself to AS3, which prompted the latter to say in jest, “Oh, you might be hiding a tape recorder there somewhere.”

Magsaysay replied in the negative to assure AS3 that none of the conversations would see print.

There were some discussions on the SMC sequestration, and some discussions on SMC’s cost of capital. If you don’t know what “cost of capital” means, don’t worry, neither do I. Defining “cost of capital” is like defining “rate base” which MERALCO and the ERB are having religious battles about.

The CEO who only wanted to be inconspicuous was now reluctantly holding court. The foreigners feasted on his ideas, the other big shots extended their handshakes, and the black-tie waiters offered their drinks.

I felt a tinge of guilt. If I didn’t drag the guy into serious discussions, probably he would have been merrier simply exchanging hellos with the rest of us.

Once I asked the question of a hundred years, others chimed in with their own questions, testing their minds against AS3.

The perfect reply
Before you raise your objection that SMC is also into ice cream, bottles, and softdrinks – hear me out. That’s exactly my point. SMC is maybe Asia’s largest food and beverage conglomerate, but after 100 years is that all it can do?

AS3’s “focus on core competence” vision was the perfect reply. A company must not over extend itself beyond what it excels in doing. A company must first exploit the growth of its industry before it touches another business it knows nothing about. And, certainly, with its army of management consultants, this core competence strategy is the best option available.

Personally, I disagreed with his vision.

In my champagne-encouraged eloquence I privately confided to a few of my friends present, including one who ended up at Citibank and is currently one of the best young investment bankers in the country: “The vision of the CEO is the vision of the company. If the CEO limits his vision, the company’s future is limited by that vision. If his vision is limited to food and beverage, then the company will be forever in food and beverage. If he had the vision, he can easily buy talent to implement that vision.

As an example, if he has zero knowledge on high technology, then he can buy the brains who know about high tech.”

I saw that those companies in the best position to enter into high technology, value-added manufacturing or development were not into the game in a big way. SMC, for instance, was more focused on consumption-based not export-based industries.

Genius does what it must
After 107 years, SMC has only one world class product – San Miguel Beer.

Isn’t that a waste?

Talent does what it can. Genius does what it must. SMC merely does what it finds profitable to do – brewing beer. If we recall the parable of the talents, SMC was that person who merely buried his money in the ground, proud of his prudence, yet chastised by the master because he wasted his talent.

SMC is a unique company. It was the single most qualified private entity to lead the country into economic prosperity. It had all the chances to bring this country into high tech value-added manufacturing or services. It had the clear chance to lead but it failed to grab the baton.

Unfortunately, it was content with being just a beer company instead of being the global world-class powerhouse it could have been.

SMC could have created its own computer brand for domestic and export markets in a technological partnership with HP or Intel. If I assembled my own computer, there’s no reason SMC could not. Instead of Acer or Compaq, we could have been using SMC laser printers and computers this time developing Filipino new technology along the way.

SMC could have gone into power generation. This is not too remote for its management as it already owns and operates power plants for internal use. Even granting it has no expertise at all, then it could have partnered with BC Hydro – not that I’m passing judgment on BC Hydro, but I liked their beautifully landscaped offices in Vancouver.

Recently in Hong Kong, a bus network franchise was awarded to New World, a company with zero transportation experience.

However, the HK government saw it from the angle of New World’s management track record in other businesses coupled with the fact that its technology partner is one of the best bus manufacturers in Europe. The consortium that acquired MWSS is using this strategy. What did they know about water prior to this project? They brought in the foreign water brains.

San Miguel could have gone into banking and financial services maybe by first issuing SMC Visa credit cards after all it had 20,000 employees as captive market. It could have gone into telecom, software, and infrastructure. Don’t point me to ANSCOR which has an anemic brand name as against San Miguel’s.

For what it’s worth, SMC could have gone into record producing, or book publishing to promote Filipino talents to the world.

RP’s first chaebol
Indeed, it could have entered into anything just by the mere fact that its name was San Miguel. Which foreign company wouldn’t have cooperated, or provided technology expertise, or formed a joint venture with SMC?

All SMC had to do was to come up with an idea and everybody would have jumped into the project.

In Hong Kong, it is said that for every dollar you spend, 30 cents goes into Li Ka-shing’s pocket. That’s how diversified Cheung
Kong Holdings is. In Singapore, Temasek Holdings is leveraging its power into French bread, property, shipyards, media, and the internet.

Others are beating SMC to the draw. The Lopezes went into defensive investments as power, water, and telecom. While originally into media, now they added internet business. That Bill Gates signed an agreement with a Lopez instead of with a Soriano is a big blow to the country’s most popular brand name.

Concepcion wants to find out what a silicon chip looks like, and Sy knows shopping malls are not everything.

We have all these family-based groups yet all suffer from the same inward-looking syndrome. They are not aiming to become world-class players.

The Thais want to lay out our railways, the Indonesians are building our expressways, the Malaysians are buying our MacArthur suites and steel companies, and the Singaporeans would be erecting our office buildings.

Instead of San Miguel invading these economies, we are the ones being eaten. Come to think of it, we don’t even have the equivalent term of Korea’s chaebol or Japan’s keiretsu and sogo sosha.

Maybe AS3 was afraid that he would be spreading himself thinly. Does he really oversee the inventory of beer in Davao on a day-to-day basis?

Strategy Myopia
All told, SMC was poised to be the economic messiah; could have been the benchmark for Filipino companies with global ambitions; could have been our first chaebol.

Sad to say, even the biggest company sometimes depends on a single person’s vision.

Can the country’s only world-class, albeit single-sector, company afford to be myopic in its vision?

There could have been other factors that prevented SMC from getting into other businesses. Nationalization or outright confiscation under the Marcos regime could be one. Probably an unwritten code of not competing with its kin and friends who are in banking and property development could be another.

Strategy myopia could have been the greatest factor. Even during the Marcos years, San Miguel could have operated its worldwide expansion out of Hong Kong where it had a presence since the 1950s.

Salim of Indonesia used Hong Kong as its acquisition home base. Even now, that the political environment is business-friendly, what does SMC have in mind? Have you read SMC’s latest stockholder address? All talk about beer, milk, spirits, soda, and more beer, and a Johnny-come-lately act in property.

In March 1998 in New York, AS3 said that “although for the first 100 years we operated largely within the Philippines, and intend to continue our leadership in that market, we are transforming San Miguel into a major regional player.”

Hold it right there. After 107 years, SMC is not a major regional player yet? You would have thought SMC would have moved on to bigger playing fields and developed new technology and diversified away from beer.

The problem with beer is that it is consumption-oriented hence counter-cyclical to the push for savings needed for a strong economy. Beer technology is mature, therefore being ahead does not translate into an advantage. It is not a basic human need and very volatile in terms of demand particularly for low-income countries like the Philippines.

SMC’s too much dependence on beer is fragile. If I started a microbrewery tomorrow with a magic formula mixing chili and humulus lupulus that captures the palates of drinkers, creating the Viagra of beers, SMC could be out of business in five years.

Selecta’s assault on Magnolia is a harbinger of SMC’s beer future.

Chili beer – now that’s an interesting idea.

San Miguel could have been the Philippines’ answer to Hyundai or Daewoo. But then SMC’s management and external consultants would tell you that it should focus on its core competence.

San Miguel’s core competence
Let’s talk about SMC’s core competence. Let’s sit back for a moment, and look at the big picture.

Let’s answer the question: “Exactly what is San Miguel’s core competence anyway?” Is it brewing beer? Or making chocolate drinks or ice cream? Is that what you see?

In February 1998 in London, AS3 revealed that SMC relies so much on beer to a point that a huge portion of its total revenues, 38%, comes from beer sales.

In words and in deed, there’s no question San Miguel still talks, walks, and quacks like a beer company and will continue to be so in the near future.

Let’s take a snapshot of Samsung. In addition to foods, textile and chemicals subsidiaries, Samsung is the world leader in semiconductor memory technology. It is into computers, heavy industries, and other business sectors including financial services such as credit cards, insurance, and securities, and even fashion, hotels, movies, and magazines. Samsung even acquired universities.

We are not talking here about simply trading or distribution, either. We are talking about actually building, manufacturing or developing its own new technology.

The good thing about Samsung is that it has world-class quality. You think Intel manufactures the fastest CPUs? No, Samsung does with its Alpha 21264 CPU. You think only the US makes F-16 jets? No, Samsung makes it in Korea, too. It also makes helicopters, power plants and ships. It manufactures the world’s first 256 Megabit DRAM, the world’s first 128Megabit FLASH RAM, the world’s lightest PCS handset and the world’s first completely flat Braun tube. It is also the world’s largest manufacturer of color picture tubes.

Samsung Aerospace plans to build space stations in Mars. Now that’s vision. However, on Earth, Samsung Motors will first build automobiles. If Samsung followed the “core competence” strategy, then it would have remained selling fruits, dried seafood, flour, and noodles, and making beer as when it was founded.

After only 60 years, Samsung’s revenues is US$93 billion annually, while after 107 years, SMC’s revenues is a pitiful US$2.3 billion. In terms of contributing to the economy, Samsung employs over 260,000 in 68 countries compared to SMC’s 18,500.

Paradigm shift
Lubbock once said, “What we see depends on what we look for.” What do I see in San Miguel? You might have been thinking what a scatterbrain would suggest that SMC should have been producing Filipino rock stars.

Going back to core competence, here is my idealized vision of what San Miguel’s statement of core competence should be: “San Miguel’s core competence is not making beer but creating new businesses.”

I know that was easy, anybody could have seen that. What if nobody has thought like that? Seeing what everybody else has seen and thinking what nobody else has thought, is a talent I would like to have or anybody would like to have for that matter.

But it’s not easy.

Even if you have thought about it, it would have been hard to act on it. Even if you have the facts right, you’re not necessarily going to work on it. Facts alone do not form a belief.

Ever noticed cement companies are as inert as their products? They cannot change their mind-set away from being manufacturers of cement. They never thought of themselves as business creators.

Have you noticed we are contented with operating power plants instead of creating our own generators? We always thought of ourselves as users of technology instead of creators of technology.

How can we ride the paradigm shift if we are not aware what our real competence is?

Thinking that “creating businesses” is a company’s core competence is a revolution. This idea would not sit well with managers who are mostly inbred through years of evolution from the bottom ranks floating to the top.

If you spent 20 years breathing in and out thinking that your company has the best beer in the country, what would you say to somebody who tells you that it should open up a biotech division? You’d say, “What has sheep cloning got to do with Coke bottling?” Revolution from within is always the exception, not the rule. But can a company manage an exception?

Intellectual capital
Once you embed in your psyché that “creating businesses, not making beer” is your core competence, your perspective changes; your assessment of your intellectual capital changes; and your viewpoint on unrelated businesses changes. Things somehow fall clearly into their places.

You’d realize that your greatest asset is not the secret recipe of Pale Pilsen but your excellent management ability. No matter what the business may be, software or rocket assembly, it doesn’t matter any longer. You can go into banking or even into railway construction.

Usually intellectual capital stems from a company’s internally developed technology but since San Miguel failed to develop any notable technology after all these years, we can proceed to count its management skills.

Undoubtedly it has stable manufacturing skills, and if you heard AS3 in New York, he declared that SMC is one of the most efficient Coke bottlers worldwide.

The greatest intellectual asset of San Miguel is its brand name. Yet, one could sense SMC thinks that San Miguel is a beer brand and nothing more. If you shift your paradigm from “makers of beer” to “creators of business,” you’d begin to think your brand is no longer a beer brand but a management brand.

Cultural icon
San Miguel is probably the only corporate brand in the Philippines to qualify as a cultural icon. It is almost legendary. It is the most recognizable brand in the country enjoying instant recognition virtually anywhere. It has always been known with strong leading brands, high quality and excellent service. Its brand has no negative associations; not associated with bad management practice; not known for tax-evading practices nor linked to corruption. SMC has a clean and wholesome image.

To call SMC a beer company because it is famous for San Miguel beer is like calling Leonardo da Vinci a painter because he was famous for the Mona Lisa. Painting was only one of his talents and forgetting Leonardo’s other talents that made him the greatest genius mankind has ever seen is sacrilege. The same with San Miguel.

Consistently one of the most admired companies in Asia, it enjoys great respect and admiration. As such, it has the status of a super company – already a legend, an icon. SMC must cease thinking of itself as a food and beverage elephant. San Miguel should stop being a beer brand. San Miguel is a cultural icon and it should become a management symbol, a management icon.

Any project that carries the SMC imprimatur becomes golden, enjoying the support of the capital markets and technological partners. SMC is not an ordinary company that should focus on an operational activity such as making beer, as its core competence. It should rise above such mentality. It should leverage its excellent management skills, leverage the equity of its powerful brand, and leverage its access to capital to fire up other industries and sectors trailblazing the way for the other companies.

Portfolio management
Then SMC can dwell on the “portfolio management” approach to business. It can bulletproof its portfolio by business diversification so that cyclical downturns in other sectors can be softened by other sectors that are counter-cyclical. If the economy shifts from consumption mode to savings mode, meaning people drink less beer and put their money into banks instead, then SMC Bank would benefit from the loss of SMC Brewery.

Worries about spreading the CEO’s attention thinly can be answered by independently-managed businesses. I had the chance to meet in Seoul some senior treasury managers of Samsung Corporation (the trading arm) and during the discussion I realized that they had almost complete independence from the other subsidiaries of the group. Usually, treasury independence is a good indication of management independence.

Three days later, in my ignorance, I walked away from a meeting at Cheil wondering why one of Korea’s big companies was holding office in a Samsung building. Later did I realize Cheil was a subsidiary. You couldn’t have gathered that from our discussion, which centered on treasury decision making. I thought that was an isolated case but talking to treasury managers at Ssangyong Oil, Daewoo, LG, Sunkyong, Kolon and Tong Yang among others, made me think they are practically on their own, yet part of the same brand name established by the patriarch.

The corporate raider
Acquire or be acquired. Since SMC failed to acquire other businesses into its portfolio, it is now in danger of becoming just another balance sheet item of a corporate raider’s portfolio.

Currently, San Miguel is right for the picking. Filipino managers, originally trained as investment bankers, camping out of Hong Kong, using Indonesian money, could be hatching the biggest, most ambitious, most flagrant corporate takeover in Philippine history.

Cash is power
If you were raiding SMC, you’d probably generate much cash for your war chest. First, you’d sell off your telecom operations in Hong Kong, your stakes in a US bank, and your investments in Europe. Wait for the right conditions such as undervalued stock price, depreciating peso, and lower profits, which means stock valuation will go down further. Look out for stockholders in a hurry to offload their shares primarily those wanting to unwind from legally disputed holdings. Use stealth by pretending you have no intentions of a takeover while at the same time using the lull to consolidate your takeover strategy with your investment bankers.

Use foreign currency to your advantage. If you were sitting on US$2.5 billion cash, and if today the Philippine currency depreciates by one peso, then you have an extra PHP2.5 billion to buy more SMC shares.

Let’s visualize how large that windfall profit is. Assuming a town has 50,000 residents, you can give PHP5,000 for each man, woman and child of 10 towns. By doing nothing you earn that obscene amount of money in one day just because of depreciation.

We’re not even talking about the original US$2.5 billion itself which can buy six units of Tamaraw FXs each worth PHP400,000 for each the Philippines’ 40,857 barangays. Indeed if you were the chap who’s sitting on this money right now, you could have won the presidential election easily by giving one Tamaraw FX per barangay with tons of money left over.

This is not child’s play anymore. We’re talking big league power play here.

By the way, how much is SMC’s market capitalization? A mere US$2.7 billion.

Hey, looks like somebody is storing just about the right amount of cash to buy the entire SMC shares.

Power, the ultimate high
Why would you raid San Miguel?

One reason is that you, as a raider, probably realized what AS3 and his current management still does not realize – that SMC has underutilized its brand, skills and position in a global market place. You can unleash SMC’s huge goodwill value. You can create a world-class company with world-class technology with world-class products.

Another reason is that, if you really have to spend all that cash and energy acquiring companies anyway, why not focus the best part of it on the biggest game in the land?

However, the best reason for targeting San Miguel for a takeover has less to do with money. The second most famous person in the Philippines, next to the country’s president, is the CEO of San Miguel. Being SMC’s figurehead brings power, popularity, and respect not only from Filipinos but from the international players as well.

It’s not even about the money. Dealwise, you can generate more money from acquiring other companies in dire straits.

Salarywise, it’s not enticing. Has anybody ever heard of Manny Pangilinan?

Probably not, but he was the highest paid CEO in Hong Kong in 1997, one of the richest places on Earth, with a yearly pay of US$14 million. To picture that amount, if you are a kindergarten teacher earning PHP30,000 per month, it would take you 1,556 years to earn that money. Yet, Pangilinan is practically unknown.

There’s something more important than money: Power.

Whoever gets to be chief executive of San Miguel gets instant recognition as the most powerful private individual in the country. There’s no doubt about that.

You can forget money but you cannot kill ambition. Some people have money but no power.

That is the seed of ambition. Power is the ultimate high.

Break it up
SMC’s break-up value is higher than its current market value as a group. It means the stock market players suggest that SMC is better broken up into pieces.

By way of illustrating the concept of break-up value, take Korean Airlines. Its total shares in the stock market are only the equivalent of a few jets.

However, it has 29 Boeing jets, 34 Airbus jets, and 16 MD jets. Therefore, you buy all its shares in the stock market and then you sell off its jets, office buildings, and equipment. Selling “chop-chop” would be more profitable.

However, since market valuation includes so much psychological factor, it doesn’t follow that instead of acquiring new businesses San Miguel must break itself up, but the pressure is there.

Still there are others ways of achieving the goal of breaking up as a means to liberate the company’s stored value. One of them is listing its major divisions as separate companies on the stock exchange, still making use of the same powerful San Miguel brand name. Expanding while breaking up is not necessarily inconsistent.

If the current management wouldn’t do this, the corporate raiders might.

San Miguel is the perfect takeover target for several reasons mentioned above.

We are watching how the Wassertein Perellas of the world are going to defend SMC in this colorful possible takeover battle.

Currently SMC is trading in the PHP46 range which might be a good buy for two reasons – current undervaluation as it is given its strong position in the sector plus future stock price appreciation as a result of a takeover skirmish.

In the event of a takeover battle in the next 18 months, it might good to buy stock now and hold it for your child’s high school graduation as a gift.

Res ipsa loquitur
Sorry San Miguel folks, I hope you won’t be cross. It’s easy to generate ideas. It’s easy for ideas to be formed into words. It’s easy for words to be written down. Yet it’s not easy to run a business, so I might have been unduly unfair to you.

But Hyundai transformed itself in only 50 years from an auto repair shop into a US$93 billion group with artificial satellites, magnetic levitation trains, ships and semiconductors, oil refineries and stockbrokerages giving employment to 200,000 people.

Why could SMC, after 107 years, only do US$2.3 billion employing only 18,500? Quite frankly, the chaebol model is under attack, but not after they became engines of South Korea’s spectacular economic success.

I’m not saying that Hyundai or Samsung are the best models, but look at their results compared to yours.

Maybe you really did miss out on being the single most qualified Filipino private entity to create world-class businesses making world-class products developing world-class Filipino technology along the way.

Res ipsa loquitur – the thing speaks for itself.

SMC’s greatest enemy
San Miguel’s greatest enemy is itself – it has strategy myopia.

Snap out of it. You are a Leonardo da Vinci capable of anything. Buy the brains, buy the skills and leverage on the brand that is already a cultural icon. Do not change the way you manage your business, rather, change the way you think about your business.

Anyway, I’m no MBA-staffed McKinseys of the world who gets paid hundreds of thousands of dollars by the SMCs of the world to strategize for them.

I’m just a person in the street with naive opinions and wild generalizations; writing without thinking.

One nice thing though about street-based analysts is that we can freely dispense ill-informed ideas without having the corresponding punishment of losing our personal money if they bombed out.

Maybe that’s exactly why we are out here in the street merely talking about how to run SMC, instead of being in the penthouse actually running SMC.

Shades of the novel “Zorba the Greek” – there are people who want to write about “life” but those who are actually living “life” are too busy to write about it.

Just a precaution while I’m still here, please don’t take seriously what I wrote above. I have to say that because some ideas I wrote a while back about a fast food company wound up as clippings circulated among the senior management of its competitor, of all places.

On another occasion, I once wrote down some ideas privately to a friend which included creating a monthly strategy newsletter, and before I knew it the US securities house he worked in implemented it soon thereafter. Goes to show some guys take my words more seriously than I originally intended.

That’s bad and that’s why I have to warn you off. Spare yourself the trouble of analyzing and refuting my statements, as this is not a scholarly treatise. I’m just your unknowledgeable average armchair strategist with wild ideas that hopefully provided amusing reading, only this and nothing more.

Yep, quoth the Street Strategist, “Amusing reading, merely this and nothing more.”

Now, go to the world, start your own microbrewery producing Chili beer, and drink. I don’t.

Drink beer, that is.

Wait a minute, I started out with Richard Gomez so I might as well end with him.

I arrived from Taipei and he from Manila, one very late night. I didn’t know who it was until I saw a taxi coming and so I looked at my competition for the ride.

When I recognized Richard, I looked up at him, and he looked down at me, and then both of us looked at the taxi. We were about two feet apart standing side by side.

He probably was unaware that I knew he was a famous movie star; after all, he was a stranger in the city and I look just like the average Asian. I was torn between getting his autograph and getting a hard-to-find taxi.

In that area in Kai Tak, only alighting was allowed and the loading area was far away, one floor below, and easily an hour longer because of the queue.

The taxi stopped – it was not supposed to; Richard made his move, his lady assistant was too slow; I hopped into it.

Ah, sometimes boys can be petty when jockeying for a ride. Sorry Richard.

But then, I lost my Ormoc girl while you found yours. I guess life is more than just a taxi ride.

Then again, I found my best muse later anyway. And life can be so grand riding shotgun in the last taxi in Hong Kong.



(Exactly one month later, on July 2, 1998, Andres Soriano III resigned. Thads Bentulan, June 2 & 3, 1998.)
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streetstrategist@gmail.com

Tuesday, June 01, 2010

Hyperwage Is The Solution to the Budget Deficit


Question: Can Hyperwage address the issue of budget crisis that our country is said to be facing, considering a budget crisis would possibly hamper Hyperwage's implementation especially in the government sector?
Answer: Hyperwage is the answer to the budget deficit.  First, assume a Keynesian multiplier of 5 given a marginal propensity to consume of 80%. Please read the Hyperwage book on how this multiplier is derived.
Let us have some back-of-the-envelope calculations.
For an income of P2,000 per month, after the multiplier effect, the income to the economy becomes P10,000 per month. Subject this to an assumed income tax of 20% and the remaining 80% (P8,000) will have to be spent anyway, subject to a VAT of 12%.
P10,000 per month x 20% = P2,000 income tax per month
P8,000 x 12% = P960 VAT per month
The total tax collected per year is P2,960 x 12 = P35,520 per year
For 30 million workers, this could be P1,065,600,000,000 or P1.065 trillion

Under a Hyperwage minimum wage of P20,000 per month, then after the multiplier effect, the economy earns P20,000 x 5 = P100,000 per month. The tax collected will be:
P100,000 x 20% = P20,000 income tax per month
P80,000 x 12% = P9,600 VAT per month
Total tax collected per year is P29,600 x 12 = P355,520 per year.  (That’s P355T vs only P35T in taxes)
For 30 million workers, this could be P10,665,600,000,000 or P10.65 trillion
These are theoretical multipliers and taxation leakages are not accounted for.
Conclusion: Without Hyperwage, both income tax and VAT for 30 million workers is expected to be P1.065 trillion while under Hyperwage it is 10x higher at P10.64 trillion.
It is very clear, that the budget deficit will be reduced, and the fiscal position of the government will be increase. Again, reminder, the costs will not necessarily move up in the same proportion (the principle of non-linearity).
While the exact amounts are subject to refinement, the economic principles behind the calculations are the same.
Now, can you see why and how countries like Singapore have GDP higher than the Philippines despite their tiny land areas and zero natural resources?
High wages are the source of taxes, source of fiscal income, and source of deficit reduction, and source of high GDP.